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Death of the PlayStation Generation
Published: May 27, 2005, 6:00 PM CST
By Quaid


This is it folks. The beginning of the end.

The winds of change

The winds of change are in the air. Can you feel it? I know I can, and so do millions of other gamers. It’s the looming arrival of the next generation of consoles, and the winds are powered by the approaching hurricane known as the Xbox 360, fresh off the heels of the mighty little tornado known as the Nintendo DS.

Tornadoes and hurricanes are deadly beasts. Without proper planning and precautions, the risk of injury or death is greatly increased. You always hear about the aftermath – the millions of dollars in damage, the injuries and fatalities. This new crop of storms is no different. We have new fatalities on the horizon – the death of Sony and the Playstation Generation™.

The first fatal blow

The first sign of things to come was the arrival of the poorly planned PSP and its subsequent defeat at the hands of the Nintendo DS. When the PSP was first announced, it was assumed by the zombies that it would compete with and totally trounce the Nintendo GameBoy Advance. But lo and behold, Nintendo quickly announced their plans to release a new handheld. The Sony zombies scoffed and declared themselves victorious, falsely assuming that Nintendo had gone into Panic Mode™ and that Sony had the upper hand in the next-generation handheld war.

Reality proved otherwise. The Nintendo DS was further along in the planning stage, and therefore was able to hit shelves before the PSP, launching first in the US on top of that. It was an instant success, becoming the fastest selling handheld system in history. By the time the PSP hit the shelves, it was already one foot in the grave that the DS had dug for it. The Sony Zombies assured an initial surge for the PSP at launchtime, but that zombie market became saturated very quickly. The DS had quickly regained the number one weekly/monthly spot and was never in danger of losing the overall sales spot.

Sony has lost touch with consumers. They created a product that was overpriced, impractical, poorly designed, and with alarming amounts of manufacturing defects. The Nintendo DS was the system that the consumers wanted, with its lower price, innovative features, better practicality, and most importantly, better games. The PSP just turned out to be an expensive, stylish extension of the traditional handheld experience. The Nintendo DS promised to take handheld gaming in a whole new direction, and it delivered.

The failure of the PSP against the Nintendo DS was the first in a series of fatal mistakes that will lead to Sony’s demise. The enormous development and manufacturing costs of the PSP and the underestimation of the Nintendo DS has turned out to be a financial disaster for Sony, who has been hurting financially for quite some time now. The PSP software is not selling at anywhere near the rate for Sony to break even on the astronomical PSP hardware costs.

At one time, the video game division of Sony was the most profitable game division by far and just about their only profitable division period. The disaster of the PSP has squandered that profitability.

The next fatal blow

The success of the Xbox 360 can be paralleled to the Nintendo DS in many ways. Much the same way the DS beat the PSP, the Xbox 360 was planned better and will hit the shelves much sooner than the PS3, and it will also launch in the US first. X360 will have the first crucial holiday season in the biggest market all to itself. Building off the surging Xbox brand name and with exclusive first and third party content, X360 will come out strong out of the gates this winter and will start digging the PS3’s grave just as DS did for PSP.

PS3 will arrive late, atleast 6 months later in the US than X360. The Sony zombies will snap up the first batch, then the sales of PS3 will drop off just as the PSP sales did. X360 will quickly regain the weekly/monthly sales lead and keep the overall sales lead by quite a margin all throughout. M$ has a goal of 10 million X360’s sold before the PS3 launch, and they will be as aggressive as they have to be in order to accomplish that goal.

The well designed architecture and M$ designed development tools will ensure that X360 games are well designed, look great, and play great right from the get-go. By the time the PS3 arrives, X360 will let loose with its even better looking and playing second-gen games, which will easily surpass the launch games of the PS3. M$ is also holding on to its Ace card, Halo 3, especially for the PS3 launch, as well as a few of its other popular first-party franchises, all of which will be Xbox Live enabled.

Sony will have to rely on sequels to its old and busted franchises, which sales indicate are losing major ground in popularity to the new hotness Xbox franchises. Without a solid lineup of first-party games, PS3 will need to rely completely on 3rd parties, the majority of which will also be making better versions of the same games for X360. Microsoft will be sure to clone and surpass the rest of the popular PS2/3 games themselves or through exclusive 3rd parties.

Sony has lost touch with consumers. They created a product that was overpriced, impractical, poorly designed, and with (as precedent of PS2 and PSP suggests) alarming amounts of manufacturing defects. The Xbox 360 is the system that the consumers want, with its lower price, innovative features, better practicality, and most importantly, better games.

The failure of the PS3 against the X360 will be yet another one of Sony’s fatal mistakes that will lead to its demise. The enormous development and manufacturing costs of the PS3 and the underestimation of the X360 will turn out to be another financial disaster for Sony, who has been hurting financially for quite some time now. The PS3 software will not sell at anywhere near the rate for Sony to break even on the astronomical PS3 hardware costs.

But wait, there’s more!

Xbox 360 will do major damage to PS3 all by itself. But that’s not all – we haven’t even begun to talk about the Nintendo Revolution yet. When it does launch in the US next year, the innovative features of Revolution will give gamers yet another reason to abandon the Sony camp.

Fighting a battle on 4 fronts (PSP vs GBA and DS, PS3 vs X360 and Revo) will be a huge disaster for Sony.

Out with the old, in with the new

Xbox 360 will emerge as the new market leader. M$ will accomplish its goal of 10 million units before the PS3 launches. The early adopters, hardcore gamers, and casual gamers will flock to X360 in droves. They won’t even need to bother with the PS3 since X360 will have better exclusives as well as better multiplatform games arriving first on X360.

Revolution will once again capture the Nintendo faithful, and its innovation will attract a solid amount of hardcore and casual gamers, as well as expand towards new people who didn’t consider themselves gamers before, just as they have done with the DS system.

The enemy of my enemy is my friend

The interesting thing to note here is the symbiotic relationship between X360 and Revolution. They won’t be direct competitors to each other, yet they will both be direct competitors to the PS3.

Nintendo doesn’t need to rely on market dominance in order to succeed. With their efficient system designs and excellent first-party software sales, they are able to easily recoup their expenses and continue making great hardware and software. Nintendo sets realistic goals and is able to consinstently meet them.

This leads to a good scenario for both Nintendo and M$, but a very bad one for Sony. Since X360 will emerge as the leader, Revolution will be playing second fiddle, but that’s fine for Nintendo. The low cost of Revolution and the innovative gameplay will make Revolution an excellent 2nd console after everybody gets their X360s. It even has a nice slim design to fit alongside the X360 for those who are tight on space. The large size, ridiculous price, and lack of innovation of the PS3 will be major liabilities for Sony.

Is our children learning?

Microsoft and Nintendo have watched and learned from each other and are taking a few pages from each other’s books to ensure their future success.

M$ has learned the value and importance of a strong first-party software lineup to push their hardware and turn profits. Nintendo is working on an online system to rival Xbox Live and have designed a console with a familiar architecture and a good set of development tools.

Sony has turned into an old dog unwilling to learn new tricks. Being the market leader for so long, they didn’t think they had any reason to learn. However, the late rise of the Xbox over the last year has proven that line of thinking to be false.

PS3 is teh kiddie!!1

Xbox 360 is a console for grown-ups. With the highest percentage of M rated games, as well as western developed first-person shooters and military sims/action, and a better marketing strategy, X360 will attract grown-up gamers at an unprecedented rate.

Nintendo has a solid lock on the family-oriented games, and under new leadership and the innovation of Revolution, they will be able to pull in gamers of all ages. With the built-in emulation of all Nintendo consoles, they will be able to attract many of the classic gamers that have strayed from Nintendo in recent years.

Sony will be left with the teenage punks and wannabes, who make up the majority of zombies. Since the intelligent gamers will go to X360 and Revolution, the braindead phat-pants wearing teenagers will give Sony the kiddiest image of the new consoles.

Old and busted

Sony will be left with nothing but the most hardcore Sony zombies. The sensible consumers have more than enough reasons to pass on the PS3. This time, just as the case with the PSP, the Sony brandname will not be enough to sell the system. The Sony name has faded, it no longer offers the illusion of quality that it used to. Years of overpriced, underperforming, and shoddily built products are coming back to haunt them.

M$ and Nintendo will gain considerable market share, all at Sony’s expense. Unlike M$ and Nintendo, who have smart financing, enormous cash reserves, and first party software sales, Sony does not have a safety net to fall back on in the case of the impending disaster.

The present and near future of Sony are bad enough, but they are nowhere near as bad as what is coming to Sony in the longer term. If they even bother to make a PSP2 and a PS4, M$ will be sure to have the Xbox 3 ready to beat the PS4 to market, and Nintendo will have the next GameBoy system ready to trounce the PSP2. From now on, all of Sony’s babies will be slaughtered in their cribs.

After a few years of losses, Sony will have no choice but to exit the hardware race and go software-only. But there’s a problem – their software sucks.

Good riddance

The downfall of Sony has been a long time coming. Their crappy products, ridiculous prices, and legions of zombies have been a plague upon this earth. They have stifled innovation by flooding the shelves with garbage and appealing to the lowest common denominator.

With the failure of the videogame division, the rest of the company will not be able to sustain its own weight. Sony will either be bought outright in its entirety, or sold off division by division until it is all but dismantled.

The return to the glory days

Do not be sad at the death of the Playstation Generation. Be happy and celebrate. With each death comes the feeding of new life.

With Sony and their zombies out of the way, the standard for quality will rise greatly, and the consumers will benefit greatly. The door also opens up for a newcomer to enter the market, or perhaps the return of an old rival. The possibilities are endless.
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Comments
May 27, 2005, 6:31 PM by LordSpark to Quaid
It will be very interesting to see the Tokoyo Game Show this year. Microsoft is proably going to aim to bring the house down on Sony. By that time xbox360 game will have gotten a shiny layer of spit and polish and completly blow people away. I expect they will push hard on there brand new surge of Japanese support. Square Enix, Mistwalker, Q, Tecmo, Team Ninja, Capcom, Namco, and many others will proably show off a lot of cool stuff and help break some of Sony's grip on Japan.

There might also be teaser trailers of anticipated xbox360 games like Fable 2, KOTOR 3, Splinter Cell 4, Jade Empire 2, Code Chronus, etc, etc.

Perhaps Nintendo will finally reveal the Revolution there. They did say that they would give out more information before the end of the year. I can think of no better time to do it unless they hold another Space World event.

Sony will proably once again show off some CG scenes. "Oh MY GOD! A trailer for FF13! It must be realtime!" Proably another Killzone 2 CG movie along with some other fake stuff. I wonder how PS3 CG movies will compare to mostly finished xbox 360 games.
May 27, 2005, 6:44 PM by superSONIC to Quaid
Yup, without GTA & Final Fantasy exclusives they will lose alot of business. They will be dependant on Metal Gear Solid & Gran Turismo fans, but those combined won't equal the Halo fanbase. PS3 will go the way of the PSP & Betamax!
May 27, 2005, 6:44 PM by fearsomepirate to Quaid
That was hilarious. I'm not as impressed by the X360 as you, and I'm not as optimisitc about Nintendo's next home console (although DS is putting PSP six feet under), but hey, it was a good read.
May 27, 2005, 6:57 PM by khaid to Quaid
Hey man! Look at this! I found extremely rare hidden camera footage of Ken Kutaragi and his dirty tactics!

http://streamingmovies.ign.com/xbox360/article/618/618553/commanding_attack_wmvlow.wmv
May 27, 2005, 7:03 PM by Suckattack to khaid
OMG! Run Away! That first culprit on his right hand side is...no way, could it be? It's MrNash!
May 27, 2005, 7:03 PM by superSONIC to fearsomepirate
All "Sony Zombie" calling aside, I think exclusive games propelled PS2's success the most. Sony tied up most big name franchises to atleast a 6 month exclusive. It doesn't look like they are going to get that kind of developer loyalty next round. Plus if X2 sells well enough, the developers could do a complete 180 on exclusives against Sony.
May 27, 2005, 7:46 PM by Hawk4x4 to Quaid
If Sony doesn't do something about the $500 price, then they will be sunk. Being the most powerful means nothing if you can't have a competitive price. I don't think Sony realizes that the Playstation name is losing ground. Hardcore gamers are looking to the X360, and the casual gamers of the past two generations are moving on in life. The name isn't going to sell it anymore. The name certainly didn't save Nintendo a decade ago.

Whats worse is if the PSP doesn't pick up steam soon, all of the big publishers who have been sinking money into the handheld soley on the fact that it is a "Playstation" aren't going to be so easily swayed in the next generation, especially with the steam Xbox is gaining over the PS2 in software sales at the moment.

I'll have to agree with LordSpark, we will know exactly how the next gen will pan out by the showing at the next TGS.
May 27, 2005, 7:52 PM by Rival to Quaid
Hehe, that was a long, but fun to read rant.

The funniest thing is this

Their crappy products, ridiculous prices, and legions of zombies have been a plague upon this earth. They have stifled innovation by flooding the shelves with garbage and appealing to the lowest common denominator.
If by some small chance your hopes become reality and Sony is driven from the market then without the competition you and others will be saying that about Microsoft.

With Sony and their zombies out of the way, the standard for quality will rise greatly, and the consumers will benefit greatly.
Yes, because Microsoft has such a great track record of doing that once they have removed their competition. They only have our best interests at heart.:)

Now this is hilarious.

The door also opens up for a newcomer to enter the market, or perhaps the return of an old rival. The possibilities are endless.
If Microsoft ever dominates the console market they will make sure that no new companies ever have a chance to challenge them. They will leave Nintendo alone and let them have thier niche. Essentially Nintendo will become the Apple of the console market. Allowed to exist in order to maintain the illusion that there is competition. Any one else trying to enter the market will be quickly crushed by Microsoft even if Microsoft has to drastically lower prices to do it.

Oh, and by the way. Sony zombies will never truly die. They will merely adapt and become Xbox zombies and go on and on about how the Xbox is the best console ever and that Nintendo sucks and even the PC can't compete with it.

Yes the future is truly bright indeed.
May 27, 2005, 8:50 PM by saycheese to Rival
Either way, you are screwed.. so deal with it. Or pray for a Revolution (pun unintended).
May 27, 2005, 9:01 PM by Rival to saycheese

Either way, you are screwed.. so deal with it.
Huh? What you talking bout willis? I'm a gamer first and foremost. As long as there are game consoles I am good to go. I have my preferences sure, but if Sony goes down I will move on. I went from Nintendo to Sega from Sega to Sony. I have a PS2 an Xbox and a gaming PC. I plan to buy both a PS3 and a X360. If it has games I like to play I will buy it.

However I know that competition is what keeps prices down and innovation moving forward and if either Microsoft or Sony manage to drive the other out then I will probably end up paying more for less.

If that's what you meant by being screwed then yes, we all will be if that happens.
May 27, 2005, 9:46 PM by qwerty710710
Kinda disagree I think the ps3 will still regain the console lead when it's all said and done. I think ps3 is ganrated to get at least half of it's user base which is about 45-50 million, and which is still more than the xb user base. If GTA is only a ps3 game I think the ps3 will sell like water. PS3 still has some good games to rely on like FF, MGS, maybe GTA, Kingdom Hearts which did pretty well here, and DMC, some new games like Heavenly Sword, and Ni-Ohi.

Either way I think M$ or Nintendo might die off first before sony does.
May 27, 2005, 11:37 PM by fearsomepirate to superSONIC
Sony's success with Playstation was due to Final Fantasy and Metal Gear Solid. Virtually everyone left N64 after FF7 was announced for Playstation. PS2's success was due to a combination of "Emotion Engine" hype and the fact that DreamCast never had a very deep lineup. Combined with its year lead on Xbox and GameCube, this spelled dominance.

The only way Sony can win is if Cell Power and Reality Synthesizer hype can persuade the market that "Xbox 1.5" isn't worth it. One problem is that too much of the PS2 userbase consists of the casual gamer, since casual gamers eventually move on from gaming and don't pass on the brand name to anyone.

M$ can never dominate the console business the way they've done with home PCs, the chief reason being backwards compatibility: it matters far more for PCs than it does for consoles. No one wants to have to throw out all their old software and other files when they upgrade OS's, but a console is a closed system. They also can't get the Mafia-esque deals Nintendo had with 3rd parties in the 80's because they're illegal now...so there's nothing to prevent some upstart company from grabbing their crown if they get too lazy. I wouldn't be surprised to see EA eventually buy out Ubisoft and launch their own console some day.
May 28, 2005, 6:31 AM by Rival to fearsomepirate

I wouldn't be surprised to see EA eventually buy out Ubisoft and launch their own console some day.
Hahahaha. Now that would be funny. Not because it couldn't happen or won't work, I believe it could. It's funny because EA is probably the 2nd most hated name in gaming around here right after Sony.

I would love to see EA do that if for no other reason than it would piss alot of people off.
May 29, 2005, 12:12 AM by orion to Rival
Yeah, because like all good free-market subscribers know, so-called "competition" is nothing but an annoyance. Obviously MS does not have a monopoly on enough sectors, and they deserve to dominate the video game market unchallenged, since that will lead to the development of powerful consoles at competitive prices... idiot.
May 29, 2005, 9:34 AM by alterego
Losing the #1 position in the U.S. would be a fairly severe blow to Sony, and MS is definitely catering to U.S. tastes the most. I think the Japanese developers that MS has brought on board may actually mean more to the U.S. market than in Japan...it helps people on the fence swing over to the 360 side stateside by the promise of FF style gaming available on the 'Box. MGS has been largely usurped by the Clancy games, and GTA is likely to appear on both platforms next gen.

I actually think PSP may already be on the way out. It had a nearly invisible presence at E3, which is strange for something that was launched with such fanfare only a few months prior. Sony hardly made any mention of it in it's press conference, which could be a bad omen for PSP enthusiasts.
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